Guide · Valuation

    What actually drives the multiple on your business

    Hendrik Lojek

    Price is usually earnings multiplied by a number — the multiple. Owners focus on the earnings, but the multiple is where most of the value is won or lost. It is essentially a measure of how confident a buyer is in those earnings continuing.

    What pushes the multiple up

    • Owner independence — the business runs without you in it every day.
    • Recurring or repeat revenue rather than one-off project work.
    • A diversified customer base with no single dominant account.
    • Consistent margins and a credible, modest growth story.
    • Clean records that make diligence fast and reassuring.

    What drags it down

    • Heavy dependence on the owner's relationships or knowledge.
    • Customer concentration — one client who could leave and take the profit with them.
    • Lumpy or declining earnings that are hard to forecast.
    • Aging equipment that will demand reinvestment soon.
    • Disorganised books that make a buyer assume the worst.

    The encouraging part is that most of these are fixable. A year or two of work on owner-dependence and customer concentration often moves the multiple more than any negotiation ever will.

    Think of the multiple as the price of certainty. Every risk you remove before a sale is something a buyer no longer has to discount for.